Annual Threat Assessment

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DIA is focused on immediate and long‐term threats to allied forces in Afghanistan risks posed by transnational terrorist organizations, especially as they relate to threats to military forces and facilities the threat of weapons of mass destruction falling into the hands of non‐state actors and the proliferation of these weapons to state actors monitoring the potential threat to the U.S. from ongoing conflicts the emergence of foreign militaries with near peer capabilities and support for US and Allied forces, at sea or on the ground, deployed around the world.. AFGHANISTAN As the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) continues the transition in Afghanistan, the Afghan government and the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) will seek to conduct presidential and provincial council elections in 2014 and maintain security following the ANSF’s assumption of full security responsibilities lead for all of Afghanistan in 2013.. European Home Grown Violent Extremists (HVEs): Individuals will remain an ongoing security concern and challenge for Western security services as they radicalize within their home base return home after gaining terrorist training and/or, combat experience abroad or develop contacts domestically or abroad to plan attacks against Western interests.. China is expanding as a supplier of advanced conventional weapons, supplementing its traditional exports of basic battlefield equipment such as small arms, artillery and armored vehicles to include more advanced examples of long‐range multiple launch rocket artillery, improved surface to air missile systems and anti‐ship cruise missiles, and unmanned aerial vehicles, several of which are armed variants.. This effort is currently taking shape with an emphasis on building and outfitting brigades as the main operational unit and creating flexible special operations forces, improved army aviation units, and C2 capabilities with improved networks providing real‐time data transmissions within and bet

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