HTML Preview Technology Impact Assessment page number 1.
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
2003 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year
Electricity generation in TWh/a
쏋 Ocean energy
쏋 Solar thermal stations
쏋 Photovoltaics
쏋 Geothermal
쏋 Wind
쏋 Water
쏋 Biomass
쏋 Fossil cogen
쏋 Gas turbines
쏋 Coal plants
쏋 Nuclear plants
Scenario for a global,
sustainable electricity
supply
The development of new energy technologies is
taking place within a complex environment
with numerous framework conditions involving
technical, economic, ecological and energy
policy aspects. Therefore a condition for a
successful market launch is a preparatory and
accompanying analysis of these relationships.
New energy technologies and systems need to
undergo continued comprehensive assessments
in order to ascertain opportunities and risks,
detect possible undesired developments early
on, and develop alternative solution approaches.
At the same time, aspects such as the liberalisa-
tion and globalisation of the energy markets
and the rules set by international climate
protection policy need to be taken into account.
System analyses provide a scientifically sound,
reliable basis for decisions made in politics, the
industry, and society so that the effects of new
technologies can be assessed quickly and
comprehensively. System analysis and techno-
logical impact assessment are therefore integral
parts of the research strategy at the Renewable
Energy Research Association.
Research requirements
• Technological and economic utilisation
analyses to determine the best systems and
their application potentials
• Life cycle analyses and ecological assess-
ments
• System analyses for individual technologies
to accompany research with improved
technology foresight procedures
• Environmental and system analyses to
support research planning and follow-ups
• Model calculations and scenarios for future
energy supply systems
• Development of market launch and market
penetration strategies with consideration of
different geographical and chronological
aspects and a derivation of recommenda-
tions for action in political consultancy
• Conceptional work to improve the integra-
tion and assessment of technologies from
the point of view of sustainability
• Methodical approaches to further develop-
ment of subsidy instruments close to the
political process
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Technological impact assessment
Contact:
DLR
Dr. Wolfram Krewitt
Phone: +49 (0) 711/
6862-766
email: wolfram.krewitt@
dlr.de
Prof. Dr. Hans
Müller-Steinhagen
Phone: +49 (0) 711/
6862-358
email: hans.mueller-
steinhagen@dlr.de
ZSW
Dr. Frithjof Staiß
Phone: +49 (0) 711/
7870-210
email: frithjof.staiss@
zsw-bw.de
FZ Jülich
Jürgen-Friedrich Hake
Phone: +49 (0) 2461/
61-3161
email: [email protected]
Technological impact